2/18/26 - Some Mid-Week Market Thoughts On Bitcoin! The Wednesday Morning Bitcoin Brief! 📊

in LeoFinance11 days ago (edited)

2/18/26 - Some Mid-Week Market Thoughts On Bitcoin! The Wednesday Morning Bitcoin Brief! 📊

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The Bitcoin fear and doom is wild. This happens every cycle, but people in both sides of Bitcoin acting like it’s crashed to all time lows the way they talk. We went from 69K to 15K in one year from high in November 2021 to November 2022, now we look to be doing same and so many people acting like it’s different, just like 20K to 3K from 2017 top to 2019 bottom & $1200 top in 2013 to $200 bottom in 2015.

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I assumed the timing being a few months early in 2022 was FTX blow up pushing a bottom excuse forward. But maybe the cycle just shifted a bit. The Bitcoin maxis got what they have been begging for, stop alt coins following Bitcoin blindly, the price, only 80% move to a new cycle top from the previous. But all they sat on there podcasts saying this is most disappointing thing ever, they all claimed the 4 year cycle was dead but it’s alive and well for Bitcoin!

Truth is many maxis expect to see hyper growth we saw at $15 Bitcoin January 1st 2013 to $1200 in November 11 months later. This is ridiculous! The cap was tiny and now it’s trillion plus or so. Of course the % growth calms down as something grows each time!

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BTC is down but not out. It's showing a lot of resilience above $60K for now, let's hope it holds. But in this crazy world it's hard to predict anything anymore!
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"The Bitcoin fear and doom is wild." — This line hit me. Here in Ghana, we see the same pattern with the cedi: when it drops, people panic as if it's the first time. But those who've lived through cycles know: panic passes, value returns.

I wasn't here for the 2013–2015 cycle or even 2021–2022, but reading posts like yours helps me understand that this is normal. Bitcoin has crashed before. It has recovered before. And it will again.

Right now, I'm not trading — I'm learning. DCA'ing small amounts into BTC, powering up Hive, and trying to stay calm while others panic.

Thanks for the perspective. Posts like this keep me grounded.

It's tough, but I think BTC is going to be moving down as we are no longer in the bull market. I think the hype around BTC started dying down after the ETFs and Trump. There just isn't anything pushing BTC up forward into the news.

I'm short Bitcoin, and I don't know where the decline will stop. But I don't want a complete collapse and the 2022 lows.

Won’t be 2022 bottom, but likely similar % moves as last time so 69K to 15K was more than 50%, after 50% we saw another cut in half (70K-35K-15K). So I’d guess 40K or so would make sense but outside thing can effect just where it goes. Maybe without the FTX collapse and fraud we’d of stopped at 20K or so but we were already down well over 50% before that so I’m pretty sure we see 45K minimum next 12 months or so. New highs in 2028 after the having. At least that’s been story every 4 year cycle, maybe it starts to shift but it def won’t just go away without at least transitioning for a cycle or two first. We shall see.

Cheers!

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I guess it's because a whole lot of people are into crypto in these last 4 years than ever, so the bias and fear has more quantity and strength.

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